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Monday, 11 November 2013 07:03

Sunday Times says "knives are out" for UK water companies

An article in yesterday's Sunday Times newspaper says that ‘knives are out"’ for the water companies and that current calls by MPs and Ofwat to cut household water bills could sink the most debt-laden.

The article draws particular attention to a recent report by UK credit ratngs agency Moodys saying that the sector is ‘weighed down by a debt load far larger than investors and rgulators realise.”

The article said that low household bills could put the UK water  companies ‘at risk of insolvency” according to an unnamed City analyst. It also stated:

"Successive investors have developed a very lucrative template: load up the firms with debt and rip out giant dividends" and described the water companies as "cash machines for their owners."

Attributing the root of the sector's financial problems to rock-bottom interest rates, the article said the owners of the utilities "in many cases" have put bonds and derivatives in place for "extraordinarily long periods" of up to 50 years.

According to the Sunday Times, when the arrangements were put in place interest rates were around 6% to 7% - which the current tariff regime is based on.

However, the AMP6 investment period 2015-20 will be based on current interest rates of between 4% to 5%, meaning the companies will be "locked into expensive interest payments but will bring in less revenue. "

The Sunday Times quotes author of the Moodys report Scott Phillips as saying:

"The returns will fall much faster than the cost of capital - some companies are very exposed."

The article flags up Anglian Water, where Ofwat Chairman Jonson Cox was formerly CEO, and Yorkshire Water as particularly vulnerable and concludes that if the water companies are pushed "too aggressively" on prices, they "may not just struggle to invest in vital upgrades, they may struggle to survive."

 The Sunday Times article is just one example of the level of attention and critical comment now focused on the water sector which looks set to continue for the rest of the PR14 Price Review until the election in May 2015.

It is difficult not to conclude that the water companies will be squeezed on prices and in their AMP6 investment programmes - with potentially significant implications for the supply chain. The question is the extent to which suppliers will bear some of the brunt, both in terms of reduced capital spend by the water companies and pressure to further reduce margins.

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